Friday, June 19, 2015

5 Tips to Survive (& Thrive) amidst Thanksgiving Chaos

We are all gathered around the table.  I can't keep my eyes off the pumpkin pie, the mashed potatoes, and the creamed corn. I want to devour it all.  My mouth is watering.  As familiar family faces fade into the background, I develop a personal action plan of what I'll eat, how fast I’ll eat it and when to fill up my plate again.
I hear distant sounds, words and discussions, but I am mezmerized by utter gratefulness as I take it all in - the pure beauty of the Thanksgiving spread set so perfectly on the table.  Surely, God knew what he was doing when he gave us food; it truly embodies one of the greatest things we have to be grateful for.
But, as I smile, as I look, as I sit, deafening sounds quickly pull me out of my delightful daydream, and throw me back into reality.  A storm is brewing.  Someone is annoyed. Agitated. Frustrated.
It could be one of many things - someone got ticked off, another couldn't get drinks fast enough, a rude piercing reply was launched or a digging question was fired over the table.  Truly, it could be anything.  
Who knows the exact reason why? But, all that mattered to me is that my moment was lost. My joy was stolen. Agitation filled me.  Disappointment gripped me. Despite my best efforts to make this Thanksgiving great, someone messed it up.  Again.
Why can't we give thanks in peace?  Why can't we all get along?  Why does it feel that we have to endure Thanksgiving rather than enjoy it?
This is should be a time of thankfulness - of gladness - not a time of madness.  Not a time to push buttons.  Not a time to get flustered. 
Why do I go into Thanksgiving hoping that it will be a dream holiday, only to come face-to-face with a nightmare situation?  
Somehow we idealize Thanksgiving and Christmas.  We turn them into perfect little gems of days that should only deliver sparkle, joy and peace.  We think that, because we control the preparations, the decorations and conversations, everyone should meet our expectations.  We hold on to these expectations with such strength that they crush under the pressure.  And, this is when the true Thanksgiving weight hits us.  We feel bloated with disappointment.
I guess I have come to realize that the bounty is not all about me.  If we are going to truly be thankful for the bounty of the Lord, we have to be thankful for who the Lord has created. He created us all with strengths and weaknesses. It can be so hard to do. It can be so overwhelming when a storm blows in, threatening the day, but - if we trust the Lord - we can trust him to work things out.
God calls us to enjoy this day, rather than endure it.  He calls us to leave perfect in the kitchen, and embrace imperfect at the table, so that expectations don't leave us hiding in the bathroom with tears.
5 Tips to Survive Thanksgiving Chaos:
1. Seek to embrace verses erase the person in need.
Jesus ran to the people in need. His heart was inclined to those in pain.  He didn't demand what he needed, but he gave what others did.
But God demonstrates his own love for us in this: While we were still sinners, Christ died for us. (Romans 5:8)
We are all chief sinners. But, in so many ways, we stand as chief judge. God is faithful to forgive us. With this, on Thanksgiving Day, let's choose to sit at the foot of the cross.  Let's sit as saved sinners, basking in the glory of Him who is high and lifted up. 
When we sit in this position, suddenly, we sit with more compassion for the meaningless jabs, frustrating arguments and aggravating words.  We sit knowing that we are the same.  We sit grateful for the one who paid it all. Who loved despite our actions.
Then, we find we have greater compassion and a heart to love.

2.  Be truly thankful - for both the yummy and the yucky of life.

I know what it is to be in need, and I know what it is to have plenty. I have learned the secret of being content in any and every situation, whether well fed or hungry, whether living in plenty or in want. (Phil. 4:12)
True thankfulness sees both abundance and scarcity and gives thanks. Why?  Because both are from the Lord.  Both have a purpose. Both are meant to refine.  
We can rest in the truth that God has good plans (Ps. 40:5). We can rest in knowing his ways are greater than ours (Is. 55:8-9). We can rest because the Lord promises to work for our good through trials (Ro. 5:4). We will be refined, refreshed and renewed.  
When we feel Thanksgiving Day is only giving us yucky food, we can choose to see the great silverware, the great centerpiece and the great God who is at the center of it all.

3. A storm may brew, but know God will bring you through.
For I am the LORD your God who takes hold of your right hand and says to you, Do not fear; I will help you. (Is. 41:13)
When we are weak, the power of Christ sits upon us.  In the stormy moments, we can run into his arms, feel his embrace and let him recharge us with his love. It can be hard to remember in the moment, but God stands ready to help us.  It's ok to feel weak, but it's not ok to feel ruined when God stands ready to help. 
Call out to God.  He is famous for rescuing and helping in a time of trouble.

4. Know you stand secure, no matter what others do.
For I am convinced that neither death nor life, neither angels nor demons, neither the present nor the future, nor any powers. neither height nor depth, nor anything else in all creation, will be able to separate us from the love of God that is in Christ Jesus our Lord. (Ro. 8:38-39).
People can do what they are going to do.  But, none of this impacts our standing with Christ. We are in Him.  We are secure.  We are loved.  We are a new creation.  If we stand in Christ, we can't stand outside of him.  
We can hold to this truth, when the Thanksgiving feast looks like it may topple. No matter what others do, think or say, they are not the essence of who we are. Christ is. We are part of his family. We are his beloved children.

5. Find a heart of thanks for the burnt food of Thanksgiving.
True gratefulness is not just being thankful for all the delicious pickings, but also for the burnt food. If we have food - or family to complain about - we are already blessed.  We are blessed with the perfect, but also with the imperfect. Why?  Because through the imperfect, we see our need for a Savior. Through our failings, our trials and our frustrations, we find hope in One who is greater than these things.
He makes imperfect burnt food taste delicious when we see it for what it is - an undeserved gift.
That's why I take pleasure in my weaknesses, and in the insults, hardships, persecutions, and troubles that I suffer for Christ. For when I am weak, then I am strong. (2 Cor. 12:10)
Bonus Tip (consider it your Thanksgiving second helping): Realize it is impossible to control others.
We can't control things.  We can only control ourself.  And, no one can take our spirit of thanks away, without us allowing them to do it. No one can steal our heart - unless we allow them to.  
The fact of the matter is that when we stop looking for everyone to be perfect, we can start enjoying them for who they truly are. When our standards aren't higher than the Thanksgiving Day roof, we can see people's hearts, history and pains.  And, we sometimes, can even empathize and minister to them.
Thanksgiving is a special day, a needed day.  A day to see all that we have - burnt food and all. If expectations consume us, we may find all we have consumed is an inability to be happy, a heart of discontent and a spirit of bitterness.  
The truth is that people will disappoint - and we will disappoint people.  No one is perfect - except One.  But, the ultimate truth is that God's grace never ends. It nourishes us when Thanksgiving leaves us hungry for more love.
Let's lay this truth on the table so we can pass, dish and eat up all the goodness of grace - in our own hearts and towards the hearts of others.

Should You Trade Thanksgiving Week?

Hey guys,
Just a quick heads up for those of you getting ready to trade this week. I usually steer clear of trading US Thanksgiving week as the market can become unpredictable. if you're a newbie or if you simple want to play it safe you should consider taking this week off.
Personally I finished trading for 2010 on the first week of November. I usually like to give myself December off. However, this year I thought I would treat myself with an extra month! So I defintely wont be trading this week.
Just for fun, lets take a look at the GBP/USD 4hr chart for Thanksgiving week 2007-2009.
Blue lines = Thanksgiving day
Red lines = Thanksgiving week
Average weekly range is based on the three weeks prior to Thanksgiving week.

Thanksgiving 2007 (November 22)

trading on thanks giving in 2007
Thanksgiving week range = 314 pips
Average weekly range = 410 pips
Thanksgiving day range = 74 pips
In 2007 Thanksgiving week gave us a large decrease in volatility. The average weekly range for the three weeks prior was 410 pips. On Thanksgiving week we saw a 314 pip range which suggest low volatility. Thanksgiving day in particular had a very low range of only 74 pips and the market was very choppy. So Thanksgiving week 2007 looks like it would have been hard going for traders.

Thanksgiving 2008 (November 27)

trading on thanks giving in 2008
Thanksgiving week range = 696 pips
Average weekly range = 930 pips
Thanksgiving day range = 201 pips
In 2008 Thanksgiving week again showed decreased volatility when compared to the rest of November. From the charts you can see that the market became extremely choppy from the 26 of November onwards. The charts show that trading could have been good on the Monday and Tuesday but Wednesday through Friday the market was volatile and choppy. On Thanksgiving day we can see there was a 201 pip range which would likely have been difficult to trade given the choppiness.

Thanksgiving 2009 (November 26)

trading on thanks giving in 2009
Thanksgiving week range = 475 pips
Average weekly range = 373 pips
Thanksgiving day range = 313 pips
In 2009 we had a crazy Thanksgiving week. The market moved well beyond its average for the month moving 313 pips on Thanksgiving day alone. This made Thanksgiving day the largest single day move in the whole of November. The price moved very consistently in a bearish direction so there was some great profit opportunity there. So 2009 was definitely a good year to be trading Thanksgiving week.

Summary

Thanksgiving week can get very unpredictable very fast. So my personal opinion is not to trade Thanksgiving week, especially if you're a newbie.

Thanksgiving for What God Has Done

What is God Saying?
The historical basis for this Psalm deals with Saul’s enraged pursuit of David.  Young David was forced to flee for his life and find protection by hiding in the Cave of Adullam.  Without asking for it, David was gaining popularity with the masses of the people.  Saul could feel his throne tottering under him and in an insanely jealous rage, he dispatched his minions to stop this young upstart.  Their acts of treachery and murder were heinous and uninhibited.  Many lives were lost and David was deeply pained. 
Read the whole story in 1 Samuel, chapters 20-22. The Psalm, therefore denounces the wicked who love evil more than good and declares the sure and ultimate blessedness of those who make God their refuge.  The wicked boast of their clever devices and powerful treachery, but the righteous will, literally, have the ‘last laugh’ (vs. 6). The wicked will be uprooted from the land of the living.  The godly will be like an olive tree, fruitful and abundant, because they trust in the steadfast love of God (vs. 8). 
The Psalm gives thanks to God who has done and who will do great things.
How Does It Apply To Us?
We are not fleeing from an angry, jealous king, but we have enemies that are intent upon getting us and getting us down.  There are forces that keep assaulting us from a world that is at enmity with God;  thoughts and desires that have not been crucified with Christ as we live in a permissive atmosphere with disregard for moral standards;financial problems, family worries, failing health, job insecurity
There are enemies, but we have God. 
He cares, He sends miracles, He is the God of the impossible and He will never forsake His own. 
Let our prayer rise on a tide of thankfulness to Almighty God for all that He has done. 
Concentrate on Him who through His great love redeemed us, freed us from yesterday’s mistakes, strengthened us for today’s needs, and gave us hope of glory in the eternal life.  “I will thank thee forever because thou hast done it.”
Pray With Me
God of all grace and truth, my heart is filled with the joy of thanksgiving which is like a stream growing into a river which flows to the sea.  It can only keep on going in ever fuller measure until it becomes one with the unshadowed bliss of Heaven.  “I will praise You forever.” This is the theme of my heart  -  a heart filled with hope and redeemed from sin.  I shall sing a song of gladness and eternal victory.  Never again the dismal sob of a dejected spirit.
I will praise You forever because you have done it.”  I look back upon the Cross, that great standard raised against the flood.  I no longer need fear the flood.
  • I will not fear the accusations of a guilty conscience.
  • I will not dread the memory of wasted years.
  • I will not dwell on the debris of broken promises.
  • I will not hold in my hand the ashes of undisciplined passion.
All these, like the thundering surf, break helplessly against the Rock of Ages.  In Christ, I am beyond reach of sin’s destructive force.  “There is therefore now no condemnation for those who are in Christ Jesus.” No thought of yesterday’s failure and no fear of yesterday’s evil will restrain the joy of my thanksgiving.  Today, tomorrow, and forever, I will praise Him who once died,
  • The Just for the unjust,
  • The Innocent for the guilty
  • The Creator for the Creature.
  • The Master for the servant,
  • The Free for the condemned.
You have done it, Lord.   Forever I will live.   Forever I will be thankful.  Forever I will live for You. To the praise of Him who is the same yesterday, today, and forever. Amen.
Move On In the Life of Prayer
Base your confidence in prayer on the fact that God does things.  It is not biblical to say, “God helps those who help themselves.”  It is biblical “….to fear not, to stand firm and to see the salvation of the Lord.” It is biblical to “….believe that the Lord will fight for you.  You have only to be still” (Exodus 14:13-14).
Be thankful for that in your prayer today and tomorrow and forever.
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Forex Trading on Thanksgiving Day

Are you trading Forex on Thanksgiving day?
This Thursday, November 22nd 2012, is Thanksgiving day in America. I usually steer clear of Thanksgiving day trading as the day has a reputation for being slow moving and unpredictable.
However, you may want to trade Thanksgiving. So, to help you decide if you should trade on Thanksgiving I have compiled some statistics below. The pair I am using for all examples is EUR/USD.

Average Daily Ranges on Thanksgiving

The chart below shows the average daily range of EUR/USD year by year since 2000 in blue. In red it shows the daily range for Thanksgiving day since the year 2000. The Y axis (left) shows the range in pips. The X axis (bottom) shows the year, from 2000 through to 2011.
EUR/USD average daily ranges on Thanksgiving
EUR/USD average daily ranges on Thanksgiving day vs. yearly average daily Ranges.
So what does all of this tell us?
EUR/USD on Thanksgiving day had much lower volatility than the rest of the year.
The average daily range for 2008 was 185 pips but Thanksgiving day that year was only 108 pips. Both in 2010 and 2011 the Thanksgiving day range was around 50 pips below the average for the year.
In fact for nine out of the last twelve years the pip range on Thanksgiving day has been lower than the yearly average.
The other two years are 2004 and 2009. In 2004 the Thanksgiving day range was in line with the yearly average of 123 pips. In 2009 the pip range for Thanksgiving day creeped 14 pips a above the yearly average.
So it is pretty safe to say that you should expect very low volatility this Thursday. In fact, based on the last twelve year you should expect Thursdays range to be roughly 68% of this years average range. So far the average daily range for 2012 has been 111 pips so I would expect EUR/USD to range about 75 pips this Thursday.

Difference Between Open and Close Price

In the chartbelow you see the move from open price for EUR/USD. The Y axis (left) shows the move in pips. Anything above 0 on the Y axis (left) means price closed higher than open, and anything below 0 means price moved down from open. The X axis (bottom) shows the year, from 2000 through to 2011.
EUR/USD price movement from open on Thanksgiving
EUR/USD difference Between Open and Close Price on Thanksgiving day.
The graph above shows that there is no consistent bullish or bearish bias on Thanksgiving day. In the last twelve years price closed above open six time, below open five times, and it closed precisely at open once in 2007.
There is one very interesting fact that we can take from the chart above. For eight out of the twelve years price closed 20 pips or less from it’s open. It seems like the open price on Thanksgiving day acts as a magnet most years. Price may range up to one hundred pips away but it always seems to make it’s way back by the days close.
In 2010 price ranged 100 pips from open and came back to close only 9 pips from the open price. In 2011 price ranged 95 pips from open and came back to close only 6 pips from the open price.

Trading Thanksgiving Day 2010

The chart below shows that in 2010 we had two opportunities to enter short trades on the EUR/USD 15 min. If you don’t know how to trade reversals check out my free Forex price action strategy.
EUR/USD range on Thanksgiving day 2010
EUR/USD range on Thanksgiving day 2010.
This trade could have earned 35-50 pips if you entered at the reversal point, and closed on or after the Thanksgiving day open price.

Trading Thanksgiving Day 2011

The chart below shows that in 2011 we had one opportunity to enter a long reversal and one to enter a short. Both reversals could have earned 30-45 pips if you entered at the reversal point, and closed on or after the Thanksgiving day open price.
EUR/USD range on Thanksgiving day 2011
EUR/USD range on Thanksgiving day 2011.

Conclusion

Taking everything above, it would seem that trading Forex on Thanksgiving day is not as unpredictable as most people think.
  • Ranges tend to be tight which means there is less risk.
  • Price seems to be drawn back to it’s open price by the close of the day.
  • Large moves are rare and price has only ranged above it’s year average once in twelve years.
That being said I am not a 15 minute chart trader so I doubt I will trade Thanksgiving day. I will be keeping a very close eye on price though and I may switch to 15 minute charts….
…… I mean, it is a special occasion, so why not?
How will you handle Thanksgiving day? Please discuss below. Also, let me know if you found this article helpful.

Thanksgiving in the Bible

Bible study on Thanksgiving.

As we celebrated Thanksgiving last Thursday, I began to wonder what the Bible says about "thanksgiving." I generally remembered what the Bible said, but I was curious about the specifics. So I did a little research, while Beth fixed Thanksgiving dinner.
Good Deeds Produce Thanksgiving
Jesus died upon the cross to purify for Himself, a group of people zealous for good deeds (Tit. 2:14). As Jesus' people, we work diligently in our Lord's kingdom, to do the good works God prepared beforehand (Eph. 2:10).
As we do the Lord's work, we affect the lives of others. The result is thanksgiving, directed toward God.
  • People in the world see our good works and glorify God (Matt. 5:16).
  • Good deeds directed toward our brethren produce thanksgiving to God (2 Cor. 9:11).
As we go through our day-to-day walk, letting our light shine as God's children and doing the good deeds He has ordained, it causes others to glorify God and give thanks.
Thanksgiving in Prayer
When we pray, expressing our concerns to God, we should take time to express our thankfulness.
  • We tell God our problems, making our requests known to Him with thanksgiving (Phil. 4:6).
  • We are devoted to prayer, staying alert in it with an attitude of thanksgiving (Col. 4:2). .
  • We rejoice, praying without ceasing, giving thanks to God (1 Th. 5:16-18).
A thankful life is a prayerful life. A life void of prayer is an unthankful life.
Thanksgiving in Heaven
We don't know a lot about heaven, often making us wonder what it will be like. One thing occurring in heaven is thanksgiving.
  • The angels in heaven give thanks to God (Rev. 11:17).
  • When we get to heaven, we will give thanks to God for salvation, as those who were washed in the blood of the Lamb (Rev. 7:1-15).
If we're not thankful in our prayers upon the earth, it's doubtful we'll live in heaven, where we'll be busy offering thanks to God and our Lord Jesus Christ.
Every Day is Thanksgiving, for Christians
As we experience God's goodness in our lives, and offer thanks to Him, we could say that every day is a day of thanksgiving. We don't feast upon turkey every day, in observance of a secular holiday, but we offer our thanks to God in prayer, reflecting our thankfulness in everything we say and do.
  • The result of our thankful lives, doing the good works God has ordained, is that it produces thanksgiving to God.
  • The effect of things we do upon the earth is far reaching, even reaching the throne of God.
Whatever you do in the bustle of day-to-day life, remember to give thanks. And live in such a way that others, who watch you and experience God's goodness from your hands, can't help but pause and offer up a prayer to express their thanks. In these ways, God will be glorified, and receive the thanks He deserves.

Reasons to Be Thankful

Reasons to Be Thankful

Written by Dr. Muriel Larson 

thankful & mental health
Years ago my husband and I were going through financial problems, and I was distraught with worry. Then I read Philippians 4:6-7, which told me not to be anxious about anything, but to bring everything to the Lord in prayer, with thanksgiving.
After I turned everything over to the Lord and started giving thanks to Him, faith filled me - and I received “the peace of God that passes all understanding” that verse seven promises. But when we are depressed and despairing, what can we thank God for?
I have learned that thanking God for the following can lift my heart to see above the problems of this world:
  • His beautiful creation. I grew up in a summer resort in New Jersey, where living close to nature was part of my life - pine trees, water and gorgeous sunsets. My early attention to the beauty of God’s world gave me added appreciation for the amazing variety of plants, creatures, and scenery God has provided for us to enjoy. When I praise God for something He made, it increases my joy. Jesus said, “Consider the lilies of the field … Even Solomon in all his glory was not arrayed like one of these” (Matthew 6:28-29).
  • The provisions of life. Even though we say grace, we may take the food we eat for granted. We’d enjoy it much more if we were grateful! The next time you eat one of your favorite foods, be thankful for its availability. Many people in the world only have plain rice to eat. When we think of our less-privileged, hungry brothers and sister in Christ, let’s pray, “Lord, give us this day our daily bread.”
  • Everything we have comes from God. Ecclesiastes 5:19 says, “When God gives any man wealth and possessions, and enables him to enjoy them, to accept his lot and be happy in his work - this is a gift of God.” When we thank God for our families, our home, warm clothes and all the conveniences that make our lives easier, we are able to enjoy them even more.
  • Fellowship of the saints. Wherever we Christians go, we can find brothers in sisters in Christ. That is His fellowship, His church. When we grieve or feel depressed, our brothers and sisters comfort us and pray for us. Their prayers help bring healing and wisdom and carry us through troubled waters on the wings of God’s grace. Many of us Christians take for granted our church, pastor, and fellow Christians. It is sad that we must be struck by some calamity before we realize the blessing our spiritual family can be to us.Our Lord has given us the fellowship of the saints for our enrichment and increase of joy. Colossians 3:16 says, “Let the word of Christ dwell in you richly in all wisdom; teaching and admonishing one another in psalms and hymns and spiritual songs, singing with grace in your hearts to the Lord.”
Making the change: Getting Your Life Back on Track - Adjusting Your Priorities
  • God’s promises. The Bible is full of God’s promises, especially the psalms. Many times when troubles have been abundant, I have opened my Bible and found a precious promise for me that has proven to be a great comfort. But we don’t have to go through troubled times to appreciate God’s promises. His blessings are new every morning.Thank God! The Lord has promised us freedom from anxiety, along with His peace that passes all understanding, if we simply trust Him with everything (Philippians 4:6-7). He promised to supply all our needs (Philippians 4:19), supernatural joy to His followers (John 15:11), an abundant life (John 10:10) and answered prayers (John 14:14). Let’s not forget to thank Him!
  • The greatest gift God gave mankind was His only begotten Son, who gave His life to grant us forgiveness of sin and everlasting life. Through His Spirit God gives us joy, peace, and victory. Let us rejoice in our Lord and give thanks to Him in all things!
Clinton C. Cox declared this about the deliverance thankfulness can give us, “John Henry Jowett said,
‘Gratitude is a vaccine, an antitoxin, and an antiseptic.’ This is a most searching and true diagnosis. Gratitude can be a vaccine that can prevent the invasion of a disgruntled attitude. As antitoxins prevent the disastrous effects of certain poisons and diseases, thanksgiving destroys the poison of fault-finding and grumbling. When trouble has smitten us, a spirit of thanksgiving is a soothing antiseptic.”

Thanksgiving and Prayer

Be joyful always; pray continually; give thanks in all circumstances, for this is God’s will for you in Christ Jesus.”1 Thessalonians 5:16-18
Have you ever noticed how often thanksgiving and prayer are mentioned together in the Bible? In the same breath that Paul encourages us to “pray continually,” and also says we should “give thanks in all circumstances”.  (1 Thessalonians 5:16-17) Author Paul E. Miller, in his book A Praying Life (pg. 89-90), collected over a dozen verses where the apostle Paul explicitly connects thanksgiving and prayer. Here is a sample:
Do not be anxious about anything, but in everything, by prayer and petition, with thanksgiving, present your requests to God.”  Philippians 4:6
We always thank God for all of you, mentioning you in our prayers.”  1 Thessalonians 1:2
I thank God, whom I serve, as my forefathers did, with a clear conscience, as night and day I constantly remember you in my prayer.” 2 Timothy 1:3
I always thank my God as I remember you in my prayers.”  Philemon 1:4
Devote yourselves to prayer, being watchful and thankful.” Colossians 4:2
Prayer itself sometimes will be a struggle, as Paul admits when he explains how Epaphras has been struggling in prayer for their friends in Colossi. (Colossians 4:12) However, by always praying with thanksgiving, we can remain encouraged by remembering what God has done and what He promises He will continue to do. By matching prayer of thanksgiving with prayer of intercession, we will not be weighed down by the prayer needs of others (or ourselves) but instead will balance these needs with the assurance of how God has already provided and will continue to provide for us. In this way, we can, as Paul also encourages, “be joyful always.”  (1 Thessalonians 5:16)
Even when we are praying for help in the midst of deep distress and struggle, give thanks to the God who has sustained and will sustain us always!